Épinal vs FCSR Haguenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
11º
37
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 1
SPI
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 0
FEI
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 0
SPI
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
3 - 2
ASB
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ASN
0 - 0
SPI
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FCSR Haguenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
BIE
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 2
BOB
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 1
FCS
46%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
FLE
21%
25%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
FCS
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |