Sarm. Resistencia vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
BUC
3 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 0
CAC
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CFE
1 - 1
SAR
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CDN
1 - 0
SAR
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SOL
1 - 0
SAR
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
GAF
1 - 0
CDN
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
TEX
2 - 2
GAF
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
GAF
4 - 1
SOL
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CFE
3 - 1
GAF
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BUC
1 - 0
GAF
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |