Sarmiento II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
GOC
0 - 2
SAR
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 1
HUR
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
4 - 0
SAR
66%
18%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 1
RIV
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 1
ALD
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
GLP
1 - 0
VEL
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 0
CAU
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VEL
5 - 0
GOC
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 0
VEL
42%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |