Sarmiento II vs Lanús II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
3 - 0
SAR
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
OLI
29%
23%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 0
SAR
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 3
IND
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
TIG
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
LAN
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 1
LAN
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
ALD
69%
19%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
CAU
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |