Sarmiento II vs Boca Juniors II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
SAR
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
HUR
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
DYJ
1 - 1
SAR
67%
20%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
IND
19%
23%
58%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
GOC
0 - 0
SAR
64%
22%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 0
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
BOC
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 1
TIG
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
44%
25%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
BOC
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |