Sarmiento Leones vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 1
SAR
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 0
ARG
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BNO
0 - 1
SAR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TIR
0 - 1
SAR
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
RCU
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAA
0 - 1
RAC
29%
26%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ALP
2 - 0
CAA
38%
25%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAA
2 - 0
ATE
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
RCU
1 - 0
CAA
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAA
0 - 1
ALM
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |