SAP vs Willikies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 0
VLI
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 6
ORO
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
PBU
3 - 2
SAP
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 2
EGF
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 5
GRE
44%
22%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 1
JHF
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
GRC
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 2
WIL
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 2
WIL
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 2
WIL
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |