SAP vs Willikies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 1
GRE
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
HOP
0 - 0
SAP
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PTI
2 - 3
SAP
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
SAP
5 - 0
ALL
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 1
PAR
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
WIL
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
ALL
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 2
PAR
45%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ORO
3 - 1
WIL
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |