SAP vs Pigotts Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
6º
26
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
FIV
1 - 3
SAP
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 7
GRE
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
TRY
0 - 3
SAP
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HOP
1 - 5
SAP
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
SWE
2 - 1
SAP
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PBU
0 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
PBU
62%
19%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HOP
2 - 1
PBU
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
SWE
2 - 1
PBU
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PBU
3 - 0
LIB
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |