SAP vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 0
SAP
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SAP
1 - 4
TRY
32%
22%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAP
0 - 3
HOP
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FIV
4 - 1
SAP
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAP
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
TRY
2 - 0
ORO
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ORO
0 - 3
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ORO
1 - 2
SWE
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
ORO
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ORO
2 - 0
VLI
68%
17%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |