São Paulo RS vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 3
ECA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PEL
1 - 0
SAO
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
URS
3 - 1
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
URS
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
SGA
1 - 0
LAJ
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SGA
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SGA
0 - 0
ISM
33%
27%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SGA
2 - 1
ISM
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
SGA
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |