São Paulo vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 1
SAO
8%
18%
74%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
SAO
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 2
SAO
15%
23%
62%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
NOV
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
11%
22%
67%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 1
NOV
36%
23%
42%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
16%
23%
62%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
5 - 3
YPI
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |