São Paulo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 2
SAO
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 2
IVT
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 0
AVA
72%
18%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 2
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
BOT
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
PAL
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 1
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
AMF
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |