São Paulo vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 2
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
CUI
1 - 1
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
ATM
13%
23%
64%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
ATP
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
AVA
45%
29%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
AVA
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
SCI
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |