São Luiz vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
1 - 2
NOV
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLU
48%
28%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
1 - 1
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
SLU
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 2
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAX
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |