Copa Paulista Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 3-1
São José vs Grêmio Prudente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
GRE
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
POR
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIR
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |