São Caetano vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 2
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 0
IFC
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
47%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAR
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
42%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
BAH
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 1
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 1
ARN
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |