São Bernardo FC vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
31%
23%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
AUD
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
FER
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SEP
4 - 2
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
XVD
3 - 1
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAT
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |