Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Santos Laguna vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
QRO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
QRO
2 - 3
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
VER
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LEO
4 - 0
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 3
LEO
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
5 - 0
TIJ
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 1
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |