Santos FC vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.4%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.7%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.6%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.9%
1.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 4
SAN
17%
24%
60%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
9 - 1
ITU
85%
10%
4%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
REM
0 - 4
SAN
13%
22%
66%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 4
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
10 - 0
NAV
88%
10%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MON
0 - 4
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
SER
58%
22%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
MON
68%
18%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
MIR
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |