Santomera vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MSM
4 - 1
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABA
57%
24%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
PUL
29%
25%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 2
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 3
LOR
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
CIE
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
PIN
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |