Santacruzense vs Assisense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TAN
2 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
VOC
15%
26%
60%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
PEN
7 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TAN
4 - 0
SAN
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Assisense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 1
OLI
26%
26%
49%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 3
ASS
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 1
GRE
16%
24%
60%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VOC
1 - 1
ASS
60%
24%
16%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 0
OSV
33%
28%
40%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |