Cotzumalguapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SLC
1 - 1
REU
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
SLC
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SLC
2 - 0
SPD
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SIQ
0 - 0
SLC
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SLC
0 - 0
ROS
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 0
ROS
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
REU
1 - 1
NUE
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
ESC
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
NUE
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NUE
3 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |