Santa Gema vs Millenium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GEM
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
GEM
26%
25%
50%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
GEM
1 - 0
OES
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIS
1 - 1
GEM
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GEM
5 - 0
CHI
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Millenium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 0
VER
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 2
RIO
28%
25%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |