Santa Cruz vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
CEA
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
SAN
16%
26%
58%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
ICA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 3
BOA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |