UCAM Murcia B vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IMP
1 - 0
UCA
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 0
MAR
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDA
1 - 3
UCA
44%
23%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 2
YEC
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
EGP
2 - 0
UCA
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
OLI
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MUL
0 - 3
AGU
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 0
LAU
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 2
AGU
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 2
PIN
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |