Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
JUB
1 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
GAM
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
KAW
31%
22%
46%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
NAG
0 - 0
TIT
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NAG
3 - 1
CON
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NAG
1 - 0
SAG
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
TIT
0 - 3
NAG
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OMI
1 - 1
NAG
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |