San Severo vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
SSE
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 1
POM
48%
22%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
SSE
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
SER
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RPO
2 - 1
SSE
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 0
TOR
44%
22%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ACI
0 - 1
SSM
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SSM
0 - 4
PIC
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
SSM
64%
22%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 0
GAL
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |