Copa de la Superliga Reservas Semi-finals
Global 3-1
San Lorenzo II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 1
SLO
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
SLO
4 - 2
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 3
SLO
32%
25%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
SLO
4 - 1
ROC
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 1
SLO
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 1
SLO
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 2
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
RAC
1 - 2
VEL
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
VEL
4 - 1
LAN
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 0
VEL
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |