Samobor vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samobor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
MAK
39%
25%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VRB
1 - 1
SAM
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
VRA
1 - 1
SAM
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
STU
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RIJ
1 - 2
SAM
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIN
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KRK
4 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
59%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
ZAG
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
DUG
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VRB
0 - 2
NOV
17%
23%
61%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | +2 |