Samoa vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 4
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 3
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
SAM
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
11 - 0
SAM
85%
12%
4%
|
41 | 89 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 6
FIJ
12%
21%
66%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2004 |
ASA
0 - 10
PNG
1%
9%
90%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
FIJ
4 - 2
PNG
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
PNG
1 - 1
VAN
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
3 - 0
PNG
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
PNG
2 - 2
TON
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |