Samgori vs Shavnabada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shavnabada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 0
IBE
35%
19%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 4
LTB
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
ALG
4 - 1
SHA
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 1
SIN
61%
18%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
KOL
2 - 1
SHA
86%
8%
5%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |