Sámano vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
RAC
3 - 1
SAM
70%
17%
12%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 4
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TRO
3 - 1
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAN
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BEZ
3 - 0
SAM
24%
24%
53%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 0
VEL
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CUL
1 - 2
ESC
16%
21%
64%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
LAR
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 0
ESC
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 1
SOL
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |