Sámano vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 0
SAM
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 3
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 1
CUL
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 0
SAM
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
GIM
28%
25%
48%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CAY
1 - 2
VEL
59%
23%
19%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CUL
0 - 2
CAY
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAY
1 - 2
LAR
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 0
CAY
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAY
5 - 2
SOL
71%
20%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |