San Gwann vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
MDI
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
5 - 0
MQA
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SIG
2 - 3
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
MSI
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ZAB
3 - 0
SIG
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
KIR
2 - 5
ZAB
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ZAB
1 - 1
GHA
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
ZAB
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZAB
2 - 1
FUN
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +4 |