Salgueiro vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
NAU
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 5
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAL
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
CEA
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
SAL
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
PIA
45%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 5
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAI
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |