Salgueiro vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
4 - 0
SAL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 1
SAL
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAY
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
ICA
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PAY
1 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 4
CUI
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |