Saint Andrews vs Birzebbuga St. Peters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Andrews
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ZUR
2 - 2
SAI
24%
24%
53%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PIE
4 - 3
SAI
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MGA
0 - 3
SAI
8%
15%
77%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 0
MEL
56%
23%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BIR
2 - 6
ZEJ
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
BIR
2 - 5
BAL
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 1
BIR
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
MSI
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
MSI
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |