Sagrada Cena vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagrada Cena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAG
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SAG
5 - 2
TAL
27%
24%
49%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MAL
3 - 1
SAG
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 5
GIM
32%
25%
44%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
4 - 4
SAG
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 1
GAR
41%
25%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AMA
2 - 0
ORE
69%
19%
12%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 1
ORE
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 2
TAL
40%
25%
36%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 0
ORE
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |