Sagan Tosu vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
URA
1 - 1
SAG
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SAG
0 - 1
VEN
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAG
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAG
0 - 0
SHI
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VIS
7 - 1
SAG
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KAR
3 - 1
NAG
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NAG
2 - 0
VIS
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KAW
6 - 1
NAG
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -3 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NAG
0 - 1
VEG
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NAG
2 - 2
GAM
27%
23%
49%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |