Safa vs Al-Riffa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
TAD
2 - 2
SAF
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
ALK
3 - 1
SAF
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
SAF
1 - 1
REG
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 2
SAF
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALG
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Riffa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 3
RIF
45%
23%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
REG
0 - 3
RIF
12%
16%
71%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
RIF
0 - 2
ALK
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
RIF
2 - 1
SHA
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ISA
0 - 5
RIF
21%
20%
59%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |