Sacavenense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacavenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
SAC
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
1DE
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 2
USA
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
SAC
12%
21%
67%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
0 - 0
ALM
83%
12%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
TOR
32%
29%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 1
CAL
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
PER
2 - 0
CAL
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
1DE
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
USA
1 - 1
CAL
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |