Sabah vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
3º
2º
90
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sabah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 2
SFK
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 1
FKQ
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 3
SFK
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 0
ZIR
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
5 - 0
FCK
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 2
QAR
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
FCK
83%
13%
5%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
QAR
1 - 1
SCF
17%
20%
63%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 4
QAR
19%
26%
55%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 1
QAR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |