Saaremaa JK vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
69.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saaremaa JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
JKL
0 - 1
SAA
34%
24%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
TRA
0 - 0
SAA
86%
11%
4%
|
13 | 71 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
FCP
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 3
TAL
23%
22%
56%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FLO
1 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 3
KIV
29%
22%
50%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
KIV
1 - 1
PAR
73%
16%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |