Rubio Ñu vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 4
CCP
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
RÑU
41%
26%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
RÑU
5 - 1
RPA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 1
RÑU
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 2
RÑU
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 4
OLI
22%
25%
52%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LQE
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |