Rot-Weiss Essen vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
VFW
0 - 1
ROT
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
VIK
0 - 5
ROT
27%
28%
46%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
ROT
4 - 3
BSC
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
EDE
0 - 2
ROT
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
ROT
1 - 1
WAT
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
PAD
3 - 3
BSC
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
EDE
2 - 2
PAD
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
PAD
2 - 0
WAT
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
EIN
1 - 3
PAD
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1995 |
HAU
1 - 1
PAD
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |