Rot-Weiss Essen vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
ROT
1 - 3
F95
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
WER
3 - 5
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
PRE
3 - 1
ROT
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
ROT
0 - 3
BAB
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ROT
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
BOR
0 - 1
DRE
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
WSV
2 - 1
BOR
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
BOR
1 - 1
WER
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
F95
2 - 1
BOR
50%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
BAB
1 - 3
BOR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |