Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 1
ERF
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
ERF
3 - 0
OFC
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
STU
2 - 0
ERF
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
VFR
3 - 0
ERF
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
ERF
2 - 5
BAY
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
VFR
2 - 1
EIN
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
SSV
1 - 2
VFR
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
VFR
1 - 1
WAC
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2000 |
VFR
1 - 1
DAR
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
ELV
2 - 2
VFR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |