Romulus vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
ROM
5 - 0
AYL
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HAL
2 - 0
ROM
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
BED
0 - 1
ROM
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ARL
2 - 0
ROM
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BUR
0 - 0
ROM
33%
26%
42%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BIL
2 - 2
YEL
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
YEL
3 - 3
BIL
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
YEL
2 - 0
ARL
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
YEL
2 - 3
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ROM
0 - 7
YEL
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |