Roma Apucarana vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
64.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
ENG
2 - 3
ROM
36%
23%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ROM
4 - 2
LON
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
CAM
4 - 0
ROM
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACP
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
ROM
88%
9%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
LON
1 - 0
COT
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
COT
1 - 1
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2006 |
ACP
1 - 2
COT
13%
23%
65%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
UBA
1 - 0
COT
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
COT
1 - 1
ENG
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |